Process of Scenario Planning 1 Step #1 – Predict the drivers of future. Several drivers may affect society. ... 2 Step #2 – Understanding the impact of drivers in your business. ... 3 Step #3 – Gauging the effect of Future Scenario. ... 4 Step #4 – Always test unfavorable outcomes even in case of positive Future Scenario. ...
All the future investment by the company depends on scenario planning. Extreme scenarios are hard to predict; still, some assumptions can be used to save from the impact. How to Provide Attribution?
Scenario analysis considers different scenarios that may occur in the future and will affect profitability. So scenario Analysis is more subjective. In scenario analysis, judgment is involved, and everything is based on estimation.
So when a manager starts to depend too much on scenario planning and starts making all the decisions based on that, then a wrong estimation may hamper the business to a great extent. Scenario estimation should change all the time; the manager should perform proper updates on the scenario planning model at regular intervals.
Scenario Planning is prediction of future scenarios and gauging the effect of the scenario in the business. So it helps management to be prepared for adversities in businesses that may arise due to change in current scenario.
Advantages. Scenario Planning helps management to be prepared for adversities in businesses that may occur due to shifting in the demand curve. Demand Curve Demand Curve is a graphical representation of the relationship between the prices of goods and demand quantity and is usually inversely proportionate.
So forecasting helps you estimate the company’s goal if all the conditions remain stable. It is a quantitative method of judging the future. Scenario analysis considers different scenarios that may occur in the future and will affect profitability. So scenario Analysis is more subjective.
So it also helps in budgeting. decisions. Good planning helps to judge the performance of a manager. When a manager tackles the situation very comfortably, it shows the power of the manager’s scenario planning. So it helps a manager to improve its performance in the business.
Disadvantages. It is an estimation of probable scenarios; it may or may not happen. So when a manager starts to depend too much on scenario planning and starts making all the decisions based on that, then a wrong estimation may hamper the business to a great extent.
Proper planning is done considering the upcoming scenarios, and businesses lay plans accordingly. All the future investment by the company depends on scenario planning. Extreme scenarios are hard to predict; still, some assumptions can be used to save from the impact.
Good planning helps to judge the performance of a manager. When a manager tackles the situation very comfortably, it shows the power of the manager’s scenario planning. So it helps a manager to improve its performance in the business.