how voters decide: crash course government and politics #38 transcript

What are the 3 main factors in predicting voter behavior?

The three cleavage-based voting factors focused on in research are class, gender and religion. Firstly, religion is often a factor which influences one's party choice.

How does voting relate to politics?

In politics. In a democracy, a government is chosen by voting in an election: a way for an electorate to elect, i.e., choose, among several candidates for rule. However, more than likely, elections will be between two opposing parties. These two will be the most established and the most popular.

What is the Bradley Wilder Effect?

The Bradley effect (less commonly the Wilder effect) is a theory concerning observed discrepancies between voter opinion polls and election outcomes in some United States government elections where a white candidate and a non-white candidate run against each other.

What is valence voting?

Valence politics, also known as competence voting, is a model of voting behaviour that emphasises that individuals vote based upon "people's judgements of the overall competence of the rival political parties".

What is the role of voters?

Voter Responsibilities Familiarize him or herself with the candidates and issues. Maintain with the office of the Supervisor of Elections a current address. Know the location of his or her polling place and its hours of operation. Bring proper identification to the polling station.

What is the relation between election and democracy?

An election is a formal group decision-making process by which a population chooses an individual or multiple individuals to hold public office. Elections have been the usual mechanism by which modern representative democracy has operated since the 17th century.

What is a political pact?

In the United States, a political action committee (PAC) is a 527 organization that pools campaign contributions from members and donates those funds to campaigns for or against candidates, ballot initiatives, or legislation.

What does the book The American voter conclude?

Among its controversial conclusions, based on one of the first comprehensive studies of election survey data (what eventually became the National Election Studies), is that most voters cast their ballots primarily on the basis of partisan identification (which is often simply inherited from their parents), and that ...

What is margin of error in government?

The margin of error is a statistic expressing the amount of random sampling error in the results of a survey. The larger the margin of error, the less confidence one should have that a poll result would reflect the result of a survey of the entire population.

What are valence issues in politics?

A valence issue is an issue where there is a broad amount of consensus among voters. As valence issues are representative of a goal or quality, voters use valence issues to evaluate a political party's effectiveness in producing this particular goal or quality.

What is political Dealignment?

Dealignment, in political science, is a trend or process whereby a large portion of the electorate abandons its previous partisan (political party) affiliation, without developing a new one to replace it.

How many valence elections will it have?

Four covalent bonds. Carbon has four valence electrons and here a valence of four. Each hydrogen atom has one valence electron and is univalent....The number of valence electrons.Periodic table blockPeriodic table groupValence electronssGroup 2 (II) (alkaline earth metals) and helium29 more rows

What are the two types of issue voting?

There are two types of issue voting, retrospective and prospective, and both add information costs to voters' decisions. Retrospective voting is when a voter chooses a candidate based on that candidate's past performance.

What is valence issue?

Valence issues are those for which all voters will prefer a higher value. One example here might be government transparency, it's hard to find a voters who wants a candidate to run against transparency, although I'm sure they're out there, maybe. So there you have the basic idea of how voters make decisions.

How important is party loyalty?

For now, we should acknowledge that party loyalty is very very important in predicting voter behavior. In fact, it is usually in the range of 90% . People identify with a political party for a number of reasons. Some develop a psychological attachment to their party, often from youth.

What are some examples of personal prejudices?

One example of this is the so-called Bradley Effect, named after former L.A. mayor Tom Bradley. Bradley was leading in all the polls for California governor in 1982, but he lost.

Did Joe Biden identify himself with Delaware?

Joe Biden , when he was a senator, did a lot to identify himself with Delaware, including pointing out how he took Amtrak home from Washington . Which, if you're familiar with U.S. geography, or have ridden in the northeast corridor trains, you'll know is actually pretty close to Delaware.

Did Hillary Clinton spend time in New York?

Hillary Clinton hadn't spent much time in New York before voters in that state elected her to the senate. If anything, she was associated more with Arkansas, but in that case her gender and probably more important her star power were enough to overcome complaints that she was a carpet bagger.